Villanova
W-L: (15-31) PR = 90.3255Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 7- 4 214 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 3-13 215 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 3- 4 220 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 11-14 221 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 8- 9 227 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 4-11 228 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 5-11 301 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 5-15 304 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 4-12 306 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 1- 1 307 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 5- 6 308 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 4- 1 310 H La Salle A10 ( 0- 7, 89.2) 14-10 313 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 5- 4 314 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 4-22 320 H UNC Asheville BSO ( 2- 6, 88.6) 9-12 321 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 10-10 322 H UNC Asheville BSO ( 2- 6, 88.6) 11- 6 325 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 9- 8 327 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 3- 9 328 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 3-11 329 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 1- 2 331 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 1-11 402 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 6- 8 403 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 5- 7 404 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 1-10 407 A Delaware State MEAC ( 0- 4, 85.2) 20-10 410 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 4- 8 411 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 7- 9 412 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 6- 9 414 H Bucknell PAT ( 4- 6, 90.3) 14- 2 417 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 4- 9 418 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 2-20 418 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 3-14 424 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 3- 9 426 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 2- 3 426 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 11- 6 428 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3- 5, 89.7) 8- 7 501 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 11- 7 502 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 9- 3 503 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 5-14 506 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 14- 1 508 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 1- 8 509 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 0- 3 510 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 8- 2 514 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 5-12 515 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 0- 3 516 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 9- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Florida International 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.13
214 A Florida International 3-13 -10 -3 --- -6.87
215 A Florida International 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.13
220 H Georgia State 11-14 -3 -3 -0.36
221 A Lipscomb 8- 9 -1 -3 1.60
227 A Florida Atlantic 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.90
228 A Florida Atlantic 5-11 -6 -4 -1.90
301 A Florida Atlantic 5-15 -10 -4 -- -5.90
304 H Clemson 4-12 -8 -5 - -3.36
306 H Elon 1- 1 0 -1 0.90
307 A Florida A&M 5- 6 -1 -1 0.05
308 A Florida A&M 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.05
310 H La Salle 14-10 4 2 + 2.24
313 A Charleston Southern 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.73
314 A Charleston Southern 4-22 -18 -4 --- -10.27
320 H UNC Asheville 9-12 -3 2 -- -5.40
321 A Nebraska 10-10 0 -7 +++ 7.39
322 H UNC Asheville 11- 6 5 2 + 2.60
325 H Hofstra 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.46
327 A UT Arlington 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.26
328 A UT Arlington 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.26
329 A UT Arlington 1- 2 -1 -4 + 2.74
331 H Lafayette 1-11 -10 1 --- -11.36
402 H Butler 6- 8 -2 -1 -1.13
403 H Butler 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.13
404 H Butler 1-10 -9 -1 --- -8.13
407 A Delaware State 20-10 10 4 ++ 5.53
410 H Monmouth 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.92
411 A Xavier 7- 9 -2 -4 1.94
412 A Xavier 6- 9 -3 -4 0.94
414 H Bucknell 14- 2 12 1 +++ 11.32
417 H Creighton 4- 9 -5 -3 -1.59
418 H Creighton 2-20 -18 -3 --- -10.59
418 H Creighton 3-14 -11 -3 --- -7.59
424 A Seton Hall 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -5.19
426 A Seton Hall 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.19
426 A Seton Hall 11- 6 5 -1 ++ 5.81
428 H Saint Joseph's 8- 7 1 1 -0.29
501 A Georgetown 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.47
502 A Georgetown 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 7.47
503 A Georgetown 5-14 -9 -1 --- -7.53
506 H Hofstra 14- 1 13 -1 +++ 14.46
508 H St. John's 1- 8 -7 -3 - -3.85
509 H St. John's 0- 3 -3 -3 0.15
510 H St. John's 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 9.15
514 H UNC Wilmington 5-12 -7 -3 - -3.69
515 H Kennesaw State 0- 3 -3 -4 0.67
516 A UConn 9- 6 3 -5 +++ 7.71
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Florida International 3-13 -10 -3 --- -6.87 314 A Charleston Southern 4-22 -18 -4 --- -10.27 331 H Lafayette 1-11 -10 1 --- -11.36 404 H Butler 1-10 -9 -1 --- -8.13 418 H Creighton 2-20 -18 -3 --- -10.59 418 H Creighton 3-14 -11 -3 --- -7.59 503 A Georgetown 5-14 -9 -1 --- -7.53 301 A Florida Atlantic 5-15 -10 -4 -- -5.90 320 H UNC Asheville 9-12 -3 2 -- -5.40 328 A UT Arlington 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.26 424 A Seton Hall 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -5.19 227 A Florida Atlantic 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.90 304 H Clemson 4-12 -8 -5 - -3.36 327 A UT Arlington 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.26 508 H St. John's 1- 8 -7 -3 - -3.85 514 H UNC Wilmington 5-12 -7 -3 - -3.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Florida International 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.13 321 A Nebraska 10-10 0 -7 +++ 7.39 414 H Bucknell 14- 2 12 1 +++ 11.32 502 A Georgetown 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 7.47 506 H Hofstra 14- 1 13 -1 +++ 14.46 510 H St. John's 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 9.15 516 A UConn 9- 6 3 -5 +++ 7.71 308 A Florida A&M 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.05 313 A Charleston Southern 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.73 407 A Delaware State 20-10 10 4 ++ 5.53 426 A Seton Hall 11- 6 5 -1 ++ 5.81 501 A Georgetown 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.47 215 A Florida International 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.13 310 H La Salle 14-10 4 2 + 2.24 322 H UNC Asheville 11- 6 5 2 + 2.60 325 H Hofstra 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.46 329 A UT Arlington 1- 2 -1 -4 + 2.74 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 7- 4 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.60 14.44
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 3-13 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.60 -1.94
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 3- 4 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.60 -1.94
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 11-14 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.60 -2.09
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 8- 9 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.60 -2.10
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 4-11 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.60 -1.65
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 5-11 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.60 -1.65
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 5-15 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.60 -1.65
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 4-12 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.60 -1.49
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 1- 1 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.60 0.00
3 A Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 5- 6 -9.20 9.23 0.68 0.60 -2.57
3 A Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 4- 1 -9.20 9.23 0.68 0.60 11.93
3 H La Salle ( 0- 7, 89.2) 14-10 -10.66 7.77 -0.68 0.60 8.55
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 5- 4 -6.52 11.91 0.68 0.60 15.16
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 4-22 -6.52 11.91 0.68 0.60 -1.76
3 H UNC Asheville ( 2- 6, 88.6) 9-12 -11.30 7.13 -0.68 0.60 -3.61
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 10-10 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.60 0.00
3 H UNC Asheville ( 2- 6, 88.6) 11- 6 -11.30 7.13 -0.68 0.60 7.77
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 9- 8 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.60 12.43
3 A UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 3- 9 -6.51 11.92 0.68 0.60 -1.76
3 A UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 3-11 -6.51 11.92 0.68 0.60 -1.76
3 A UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 1- 2 -6.51 11.92 0.68 0.60 -1.76
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 1-11 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.60 -3.29
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 6- 8 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.60 -2.62
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 5- 7 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.60 -2.62
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 1-10 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.60 -2.62
3 A Delaware State ( 0- 4, 85.2) 20-10 -14.72 3.71 0.68 0.60 5.28
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 4- 8 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.60 -2.26
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 7- 9 -6.31 12.12 0.68 0.60 -1.70
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 6- 9 -6.31 12.12 0.68 0.60 -1.70
3 H Bucknell ( 4- 6, 90.3) 14- 2 -9.58 8.84 -0.68 0.60 9.84
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 4- 9 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.60 -1.86
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 2-20 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.60 -1.86
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 3-14 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.60 -1.86
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 3- 9 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.60 -2.64
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 2- 3 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.60 -2.64
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 11- 6 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.60 11.64
3 H Saint Joseph's ( 3- 5, 89.7) 8- 7 -10.19 8.24 -0.68 0.60 9.12
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 11- 7 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.60 12.44
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 9- 3 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.60 12.44
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 5-14 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.60 -2.44
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 14- 1 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.60 12.43
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 1- 8 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.60 -1.94
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 0- 3 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.60 -1.94
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 8- 2 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.60 14.46
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 5-12 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.60 -1.89
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 0- 3 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.60 -1.78
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 9- 6 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.60 16.34
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108.92
|
winning pts = 174.2722 losing points = -65.3572
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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